Cluster Analysis of DD, Avengers and Thor Part 3

Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation. 

Cluster Analysis Part 3

I suggest you investigate the “Efficient-market hypothesis” vs. “Economic Bubbles and Irrational Exuberance”. Is the comic-book market efficient or subjected to “bubbles and irrational exuberance? Does irrational behavior have a real impact on the markets in comic book investing? Notice the era we are in seems to depend on the movie concept, that if a movie therefore the increase in comic prices. If that occurs then the market seems to be influenced by the “movie bubble” we are in. When did scarcity lose to the movie bubble pricing? Or did it? Do we have a complex market say golden age (Rare / drives high demand) vs. modern comics (movie/TV bubble drives high demand)? So a hint, if I look at bias do I care if it is rarity or a movie bubble? Will rocket raccoon ever go down? Short to long term investing? What happened to beanie babies?

Table 3A.Bias Analysis of Thor Issues 83 to 175 at Conditions 9.4, 8.0 and 6.0

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF
Thor-JIM
#83
$$
XX
XX

Thor
#129
?
 x
Thor-JIM
#84
$$
XX
XX

Thor
#130
 x
Thor-JIM
#85
$$
XX
XX

Thor
#131
 x
 x
Thor-JIM
#86
$$
XX
XX

Thor
#132
 x
 x
Thor-JIM
#87
$$
XX
x

Thor
#133
Thor-JIM
#88
$$
 x
x

Thor
#134
?
Thor-JIM
#89
$$
$
 x

Thor
#135
 x
Thor-JIM
#90
$$
x
x

Thor
#136
 x
 x
Thor-JIM
#91
$$
x
x

Thor
#137
?
 x
 x
Thor-JIM
#92
$
 x
?

Thor
#138
Thor-JIM
#93
$$
x
 x

Thor
#139
Thor-JIM
#94
$$
x
x

Thor
#140
Thor-JIM
#95
$$
?
x

Thor
#141
Thor-JIM
#96
$
XX
x

Thor
#142
Thor-JIM
#97
?
XX
x

Thor
#143
Thor-JIM
#98
$$
 x
 x

Thor
#144
Thor-JIM
#99
?
 x

Thor
#145
Thor-JIM
#100
$
x
x

Thor
#146
 x
?
?
Thor-JIM
#101
 x
 x
x

Thor
#147
Thor-JIM
#102
?
?
$

Thor
#148
Thor-JIM
#103
$$
XX
XX

Thor
#149
?
Thor-JIM
#104
?

Thor
#150
Thor-JIM
#105
 x

Thor
#151
Thor-JIM
#106
?
 x
 x

Thor
#152
Thor-JIM
#107
?
 x
 x

Thor
#153
Thor-JIM
#108
$
 x

Thor
#154
Thor-JIM
#109
$
x
?

Thor
#155
Thor-JIM
#110
?

Thor
#156
Thor-JIM
#111
?
 x

Thor
#157
Thor-JIM
#112
$
XX
XX

Thor
#158
Thor-JIM
#113
?
 x

Thor
#159
Thor-JIM
#114
$
x
?

Thor
#160
Thor-JIM
#115
?

Thor
#161
Thor-JIM
#116
$
 x

Thor
#162
Thor-JIM
#117
$
 x

Thor
#163
Thor-JIM
#118
?
x
x

Thor
#164
 x
Thor-JIM
#119
$
 x
 x

Thor
#165
$
$$
$
Thor-JIM
#120
x
x
x

Thor
#166
Thor-JIM
#121
x
x
x

Thor
#167
Thor-JIM
#122
x
x
x

Thor
#168
?
?
?
Thor-JIM
#123
x
x
x

Thor
#169
Thor-JIM
#124
x
x
x

Thor
#170
Thor-JIM
#125
x
x
x

Thor
#171
Thor
#126
$
x
$

Thor
#172
Thor
#127
 x
 x

Thor
#173
Thor
#128
?
 x
 x

Thor
#174






Thor
#175

Ok Lets look at Thor. Only 3 buy only in all three grades issues exist, issues 89, 126 and 165 (Light Green). Note the dark greens are a buy at 9.4 only and only are seen in the JIM issues. Focus on those early issues then.  Issue 168 may be a watchable issue as with the other grey issues.

Table 3B. Bias Analysis of Daredevil Issues 1 to 60 at Conditions 9.4, 8.0 and 6.0

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF
DD
#1
$$
$$
$$

DD
#31
?
 x
DD
#2
$
x
 x

DD
#32
DD
#3
$
x
?

DD
#33
DD
#4
$
x
x

DD
#34
DD
#5
$
 x
 x

DD
#35
DD
#6
$
 x
?

DD
#36
DD
#7
$$
$
$

DD
#37
?
 x
?
DD
#8
$
?

DD
#38
?
?
?
DD
#9
 x

DD
#39
?
DD
#10
?

DD
#40
 x
 x
 x
DD
#11
?

DD
#41
 x
 x
 x
DD
#12
$

DD
#42
 x
 x
 x
DD
#13
?

DD
#43
?
$
?
DD
#14
?

DD
#44
 x
DD
#15
?

DD
#45
 x
?
DD
#16
$
$

DD
#46
 x
 x
 x
DD
#17
$
 x

DD
#47
 x
 x
 x
DD
#18
?
?

DD
#48

?

DD
#19
?
 x

DD
#49
 x
 x
 x
DD
#20
?
?

DD
#50
 x
 x
 x
DD
#21
?
?

DD
#51
 x
 x
 x
DD
#22

DD
#52
 x
 x
 x
DD
#23
$

DD
#53
?
 x
?
DD
#24
 x

DD
#54
?
 x
 x
DD
#25
 x
?

DD
#55
 x
 x
?
DD
#26
?
 x

DD
#56
?
 x
 x
DD
#27
?
 x

DD
#57
?
 x
?
DD
#28
 x
 x

DD
#58
?
 x
DD
#29
 x
 x

DD
#59
 x
 x
 x
DD
#30
?
 x

DD
#60
 x
 x
 x












Only 3 bright issues are seen in DD, issue 1, 7 and 16. Only early issues before #24 are on the 9.4 focus. Maybe some grey to pay attention to. FYI you should refer back to the DD run blog to see the data on DD#7. It is a very interesting issue.

Table 3C. Bias Analysis of Avengers Issues 1 to 60 at Conditions 9.4, 8.0 and 6.0

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF

Run
Issue
C9 ADF
C8 ADF
C6 ADF
Avengers
#1
$$
XX
XX

Avengers
#57
$$
$$
$$
Avengers
#2
$$
XX
x

Avengers
#58
 x
Avengers
#3
$$
 x
?

Avengers
#59
$
?
$
Avengers
#4
$$
XX
XX

Avengers
#60
?
 x
 x
Avengers
#5
$$
x
x

Avengers
#61
 x
?
Avengers
#6
$
 x
$

Avengers
#62
?
 x
?
Avengers
#7
$$
 x
$

Avengers
#63
?
?
?
Avengers
#8
$
 x
$

Avengers
#64
 x
 x
?
Avengers
#9
$$
?

Avengers
#65
 x
 x
 x
Avengers
#10
$
?

Avengers
#66
 x
?
 x
Avengers
#11
$

Avengers
#67
?
?
?
Avengers
#12
$

Avengers
#68
 x
?
?
Avengers
#13
?

Avengers
#69
?
?
?
Avengers
#14
?

Avengers
#70
 x
Avengers
#15
?

Avengers
#71
 x
?
?
Avengers
#16
$$
?

Avengers
#72
 x
?
Avengers
#17
?

Avengers
#73
?
?
Avengers
#18
?

Avengers
#74
Avengers
#19
$

Avengers
#75
?
Avengers
#20
?

Avengers
#76
?
Avengers
#21
 x

Avengers
#77
 x
?
Avengers
#22
 x
?

Avengers
#78
 x
?
?
Avengers
#23
$
?
 x

Avengers
#79
?
 x
?
Avengers
#24
 x
 x

Avengers
#80
 x
Avengers
#25
$
?

Avengers
#81
Avengers
#26
?
 x
?

Avengers
#82
?
 x
 x
Avengers
#27
?
 x
?

Avengers
#83
$
$
?
Avengers
#28
$
$
?

Avengers
#84
 x
 x
 x
Avengers
#29
?
 x

Avengers
#85
 x
 x
?
Avengers
#30
?
?

Avengers
#86
?
 x
?
Avengers
#31
 x

Avengers
#87
?
?
$
Avengers
#32
 x
 x

Avengers
#88
?
?
Avengers
#33
 x

Avengers
#89
Avengers
#34
?
?

Avengers
#90
?
 x
Avengers
#35
?
 x
 x

Avengers
#91
 x
 x
Avengers
#36
 x
 x
?

Avengers
#92
 x
?
Avengers
#37
?
?


Avengers
#93
$
Avengers
#38
 x
$

Avengers
#94
?
Avengers
#39
?
 x

Avengers
#95
?
Avengers
#40
 x
 x

Avengers
#96
 x
Avengers
#41
?
?

Avengers
#97
?
Avengers
#42
?
?

Avengers
#98
 x
Avengers
#43
$
?
?

Avengers
#99
Avengers
#44
?
 x
 x

Avengers
#100
 x
?
Avengers
#45
?
 x
 x

Avengers
#101
?
?
$
Avengers
#46
?
 x
?

Avengers
#102
Avengers
#47
?
?

Avengers
#103
?
Avengers
#48
?
 x
?

Avengers
#104
 x
?
?
Avengers
#49
?
 x
?

Avengers
#105
?
Avengers
#50
?
?
?

Avengers
#106
Avengers
#51
?
 x
?

Avengers
#107
Avengers
#52
?
 x
?

Avengers
#108
Avengers
#53
 x
?

Avengers
#109
Avengers
#54
?
$
$

Avengers
#110
Avengers
#55
$
$$
$$

Avengers
#111
?
Avengers
#56
?
 x
?

Avengers
#112
?
?


Only 7 bright green but that is much more than the other runs here. Issues 6, 7, 8, 28, 55, 57, and 83 are a buy at all upper grades (6 and up). You see a strong first 12 avengers as well in the dark green ones as well as a mix from the late teens and 20s. Also 43, 54, 59 93 are also a buy at the 9.4 condition. Note a lot of grey as well. Avengers seem to be the forward moving run.



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