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Showing posts from May, 2015

Investment Potential and Bias in the Sub-mariner Issues 1 to 20, 22, 34 35 36 and 43

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  Bias in the Sub-mariner Issues 1 to 20, 22, 34 35 36 and 43  As is my practice, I always start with the B Score level (see Table 1). A top down look into this run. So far the Sub-mariner has not been picked up as a movie yet. So my big theme is that this is a run you should look into to get ahead of the curve. I have run from 1 to 20 myself. I need to search for issues 34 and 35 as well. Issue 8 is the third highly I-biased issue here (lime green). The other issues of note here are stained dark green. So I have been setting up a Desire Scale as I introduced previously. I have and will post down the road a complete list of 1356 issues of all the runs covered or soon to be. So for right now; Issues 35 (86.4 percentile ranking) and 34 (86.1 percentile ranking) are in the top 15% of desired comics in my data set. Issue 8 is very close with the hard to find "Subby

Minimum_acceptable_rate_of_return

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" Most companies use a 12% hurdle rate, which is based on the fact that the  S&P 500  typically yields returns somewhere between 8% and 11% (annualized). Companies operating in industries with more volatile markets might use a slightly higher rate in order to offset risk and attract investors. The hurdle rate is frequently used as synonym of cutoff rate,  benchmark  and  cost of capital . Different organizations might have slightly different interpretations, so when multiple organizations (e.g., a  startup company  and a  venture capital firm ) are discussing the suitability of investing in a project"  Quote from -  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_acceptable_rate_of_return (MARR). This is one of my source materials for answering the question what is the minimum ROR you try to achieve in your comic book investments? So is 12% the minimum? If you look at it per year then do you calculate your profit in a virtual way based on "Book", "Ebay&quo

SECOND ARC BEGINS____ Investment Potential and Bias Analysis of Captain America Issues 100 to # 118

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  Analysis of Early Captain America Issues 100 to 118. This is the beginning Blog Arc for the next group of Marvel Titles to look at. I have eased over in the bronze era as well. Captain America issues 100 to 118, Sub-mariner 1 to 20, 22, 34 to 36 and 43. Defenders 1 to 19, Iron Man 1 to 56, So given the interest in the recent movies, I suspected these issues would be strong buys.   As discussed before the Bias Scores gives us a first top down view into these issues. Looking at table 1, green denoted issues are those issues biased supported by the insider investors and are recommended as buy candidates. The only light green issue #117 is the first appearance if the Falcon.   Note its B Score is 519 that puts it in the top 85 silver age issues for desirability. That is a strong strong number. See the data in the Desire Scale Blog Post. I will be refer

Desirability Scale of First Ten Comic Book Titles at 90% Level

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  I wanted to reward all who are now up to speed on this informational approach for your speculation pleasure. See previous Posts to catch up. Table1 to 4 are the top to bottom ranked issues of first ten runs issues as ranked by their desirability.   FYI.  If this data is real then the values of the issues should be nearly the same. If not then there maybe an overlay opportunity. 

Last Call for the first ten runs. The Score Card

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  This post is a final look into the last posts we have seen. I have a quick and dirty score card I use for fast decisions. I present the score cards below. Lime green means buy at all grades, dark green buy only at 9.4 , yellow means watch list only, no color is sell. Remember to review the post on angles and price points. I never Buy at average price. I either buy it below or walk. I have no emotion on the issue it's a vehicle for a 20 year investment program that I have tailored to me. You must find your own path. This data is a map that is all. A guide only. Next up runs like Cap America, Conan, Submariner etc. About ten more or so.  Good Luck. MMC!

Birth of the Desire Scale and a Simple Data Grouping

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  This post is an introduction to the concept of the B Score data as a beginning to lead to the labeling of each issue in the 10 runs I have covered with a Desire Scale and a Simple Data Grouping. I copied the top comic book issues that had a B Score of 200 and above. I needed to transform the data to help me visualize the group. I tried log transformation and did not use it. I instead scaled the data and used the transformed data as a guide to separate the issues into groups. The five tables denote the grouping from A to I issues. The scale number means that you can use that number to compare two issues. For example Hulk 1 1117 vs JIM 84 132. Divide 1117 by 132 yielding 8.4. Thus on average Investors Desire Hulk #1 8 times as much as JIM #84.  The most surprising to me was the strength of FF#5 as the top non number 1 issue. Investors are very bullish on the first

Draft of Landscapes of Total Issues of Each Run at 9.4 Grade

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  This blog represent part 2 of the wrap up of the 10 runs in this volume. I have mapped in landscape style the Y Axis of High I vs High O Bias Issues across the issue numbers listed. This given you insight into the entire length of the run. It's a way to compare runs as well. I suggest you study the patterns and think about questions these data may address. So look at TOS run we see a negative area from #73 to 86. In TTA we have a nice area of High I Bias from #52 to 60 and #63 to 85. As seen in Part 1 the TOS is currently the best one for investing. Hulk Issue seen to be neutral as alot of those issues are at 0. ASM was not the best run either with the key exceptions. This data cautions the investor to tread lightly and do your homework on the targets you have selected for potential investments. The FF run has a lot of strength later in the run whi

Pie Chart of ADFs of all Runs by Grade and some more advice.

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Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  This post is just part 1 of a wrap up of the runs we have looked into. I like to have a Top-Down view of the runs. I have listed a tabular view of the first 20 issues/run at 9.4, 8 and 6. Followed by the Individual Pie Charts of each run's ADFs at each grade. Note I placed the table and pie chart in order from highest % of issues denoted as $ for Insiders Biased. The blue green color denoted Outsider Biased Issues. Note the $ % range at 9.4 was 85% to 30%, at 8.0 it was from 50% to 0% and 6.0 was 55% to 5%. So  I am going to assume these kind of numbers exist for all major runs in silver-age books. That my hypothesis anyway. Given the rarity of the 9.4 issues you could expect this result. I wonder with moderns if they show the same pattern not because of rarity but because we now have serious collectors buying and holding issues off the shelves. That populat

Investment Potential and Bias Analysis of the Incredible Hulk Selected Issues. (1 to 6, 102 to 122, 141, 145, 162, 180 to 182)

Amazingly Secret Approach Using an Incredibly Novel Data Analysis Procedure for Comic Book Investing and Speculation.  Analysis of the Hulk Issues In order to isolate potential key issues to focus my investing efforts on, I used a data analysis approach based on established values from two collecting universes within in the run of the silver age issues I gathered value data from a variety of sources representing both serious investors (Insiders – I) and not serious investors (Outsiders-O). This data is current as on 4/2015. I choose to keep my methodology and data gathering proprietary at this time but I am giving my readers a simplified representation of my data that I currently use for my decisions. In this issue I go over the Hulk Run including the first 6 issues that are really in their own universe.   We look at the standard flow from out into the end at the separate grades of 9.4, 8, and 6. Table one focuses the top of the data using a B Score assignment of each issu