Investment Analysis of ASM 298 to 318. Changes are happening. What are the findings?
Updated Investment Analysis of Amazing Spider-man # 298 TO 318
The first table presents the Bias Score (B Score) for all the issues. Bias scores show which issues are being bought by the Insiders (Pros) vs. the Outsiders (Fans Less Serious).
The concept of my approach is to focus on the issues being bought BULLISHLY by the investors. I developed an analysis of data to quantify this Bias (B Score). I mark the issues with the highest Bias with Green followed by a Dark Green staining for issues with a lesser but definite Bias. Red are those issues to avoid.
I will add an Extra Figure following the Current Bias information. See the discussion of the exciting findings!
In the Table 1A below, I listed the current Bias Scores and the Bias Scores from 2 years ago. I did not do all issues in this issue block and included only the issue that I did in 2015
The changes are calculated and % change was determined. I was surprised at the changes that have occurred. Most of all the issues have increased in Insider Bias. (Green Colorization).
This is starting to payoff. I never predicted I would see dramatic changes. Excited to see what is next in ASM.
Interesting to see what has not gone up
The red stained issues are sell type of issues.
"Good" Buys are 306 and 312
Trying to get one report out each Wednesday till Fantasy Football Season Cranks up in June.
Bias Data-Changes thru Time.
*** FYI I have noticed that within the ASM run the Data from Table 2, Insiders vs Outsiders is more efficient. Zero is prefect efficiency. Red negative issues biased to the Outsiders (Sell) vs Positive Numbers (Green) Insider Biased (Buy) Between the two is the hold zone. Also I am see evidence of movement into these late bronze ASMs. Certainly below 203. Curious to see the next block of issues.
The deepest level of analysis we developed is the ADF number Table 3 (average difference between the I/O worlds) of each issue at each grade. I denote a high I Bias with the orange $. Lime green stained issues are rated I Biased in all grades or at least 9.4 and 8. Dark green stained issues are only biased at the 9.4 grade while the other grades are overbought relative to the professional investor’s desires. Table 3 is the stricter data stream and highlights both the issue and grade. We calculate the average difference (ADF) in Issue Bias between the Insider and Outsiders groups. Lime Green are issues that are I Biased at least 9.4 and 8 grades (High Bias). (Orange $). The dark green issues are supported with a Bias in 9.4 grade only. The other issues are to be avoided.
Table 5 is the last bit of data, the Scaled Desire Ranking. I have grouped 4180 issues of comics that I have covered and developed scaled desire rankings. The percentile that an issue occupies gives a wonderful insight into the true value of titles. So we position our title and its key issues in context. A score of 99 means that comic issue is desired at the highest level while 1 percentile is the lowest desired issue. (Green High-Red Low -Yellow staining implies uncertainty- opportunity?)