Investment Potential and Analysis of Hulk, Iron Man, DD, SM, CA, Annuals, Specials and Giant Size

Investment Potential and Analysis of Hulk, Iron Man, DD, SM, CA, Annuals, Specials and Giant Size

The first Table presents the Bias Score for all the issues. Bias scores show which issues are being bought by the Insiders (Pros) vs. the Outsiders (Fans Less Serious). The concept of my approach is to focus on the issues being bought BULLISHLY by the investors.

We developed an analysis of data to quantify this Bias (B Score). We mark the issues with the highest Bias with Lime Green followed by a Dark Green staining for issues with a lesser but definite Bias. 

Table 2 data deals with another data stream on comic-book issues. This run’s issues are looked at 3 grades 9.4, 8 and 6. The changes in bias between the different grades are calculated and the SLN numbers were born. The SLN numbers look into each “world” of the I vs. O bias data.  This data has shown historically to be the most liberal and establishes the investment potential across the grades of 9.4, 8 and 6. Very quickly, the green stained are positive issues and red stained issues are a negative and invite a non-focus in only investments

We then compare those SLN numbers and generate a difference number we call the DF. Finally add the I and O SLN numbers together (total) and determine the %DF number for each issue. Green staining is good (Higher Bias) and Grey and Red are issues that are not good for an investment focus. This data stream is more liberal in the rigor and you get the best case for an issue,

The deepest level of analysis we developed is the ADF number (average difference between the I/O worlds) of each issue at each grade. I denote a high I Bias with the orange $.

Lime green stained issues are rated I Biased in all grades or at least 9.4 and 8. Dark green stained issues are only biased at the 9.4 grade while the other grades are overbought relative to the professional investor’s desires.

Table 3 is the stricter data stream and highlights both the issue and grade. We calculate the average difference (ADF) in Issue Bias between the Insider and Outsiders groups.  Lime Green are issues that are I Biased at least 9.4 and 8 grades (High Bias). (Orange $). The dark green issues are support with a Bias in 9.4 grade only. The other issues are to be avoided.

Table 4 is the Score Card information for each issue at the 3 data streams. This allows a top down view across the data streams. We denote the issues supported in all three data streams with a Lime Green staining. Dark Green has only 2 data streams support and yellow issues are supported in one data stream only. 

Table 5 is the last bit of data, the Scaled Desire Ranking. I have grouped 1356 issues of comics that I have covered and developed scaled desire rankings. The percentile that an issue occupies gets wonderful insight into true value between titles. So we position our title and its key issues in context. A score of 99 means that comic issue is desired at the highest level while 1 percentile is the lowest desired issue.

This post looks at various GS, Annuals and Specials for Subby, CAP, Hulk, Iron Man and DD.

Looking into the Bias Scores we see CAP Special 1, Hulk 1 and 4, DD 1 and 3 and IM #1. The order of desire in this group is Hulk 1, CAP 1,  DD1, IM 1, DD 3 and Hulk 4.  Lets ask why DD3 and Hulk 4! The DD issue 3 is a reprint of DD 16 and 17. The cover has spider-man and is a good cover. I believe the presence of ASM is the focus of the experts here. Hulk 4 is a reprinting of TTA 75 to 77. Hulk is revealed to be Bruce Banner. I have no other facts to support the focus on this special!

 photo Slide1_zps6hwgmi4i.jpg
Using our SLN and %DF data, the best case data stream's analysis suggest more of these issues should have a focus. Only CAP GS 1 is a clear avoid.
 photo Slide2_zpstq9dqcjv.jpg
The deeper analysis of our ADP stat shows the grades to focus on. Subby 1 and 2, CAP 1, Hulk 3 and 4, DD 1, 3, GS DD 1, IM 1 and GS IM 1 are all a focus only at 9.4. The super focus is reserved for Hulk Annual 1 only from 9.4 to 6. The classic cover on Hulk 1 makes this issue the got to buy issue in this group.
 photo Slide3_zps4wtqcse1.jpg
Look back up using our Score Card we see a focus on Subby 1 and 2, CAP 1, Hulk 1, 4, DD 1 and 3, IM 1 and GS IM 1. These are the main issue to focus on. Note the red avoid issues!
 photo Slide4_zpsgoa6fknn.jpg
The data from the Desire Scale show that yes Hulk Annual 1 is strong at 97%, while CAL 1, DD1 IM 1, and DD3 are all above 90% on the desire scale. Note the next group in the 80% so those deserve focus as well. I would use the ADP table 3 data for the grade information
 photo Slide5_zpsvycd8dg6.jpg

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Investing Guide is Out on Kindle

UPDATE Getting Ready to Do the DC side of Comic Book Investing Hopefully out early spring

Current Investment Analysis ASM 200 to 237