Cluster Analysis of ASM, FF, and X-men runs. Part 3

Cluster Analysis of ASM, FF, and X-men runs. Part 3

Table 3 X-men Issues

Run
Issue
B Score

Issue
B Score

Run
Issue
B Score

Issue
B Score
X-men
#1
51094




X-men
#73
197.2



X-men
#2
1914




X-men



#74
-0.2
X-men
#3
1601




X-men



#75
-23.2
X-men
#4
1703




X-men
#76
316.8



X-men
#5
978




X-men
#77
182.8



X-men
#6
225




X-men



#78
-67.6
X-men
#7
1873




X-men
#79
179.8



X-men
#8
784




X-men
#80
41



X-men
#9
181




X-men
#81
159.8



X-men
#10
391




X-men
#82
92



X-men
#11
2731




X-men
#83
129.8



X-men
#12
1454




X-men



#84
18
X-men
#13
482




X-men
#85
65.8



X-men
#14
374




X-men



#86
-74.6
X-men
#15
989




X-men
#87
116.2



X-men
#16
25.8




X-men



#88
20.2
X-men
#17
843.2




X-men



#89
19.8
X-men
#18
85.2




X-men
#90
32



X-men
#19
99.2




X-men
#91
34.6



X-men



#20
-38.8

X-men



#92
-16.2
X-men



#21
-26.8

X-men
#93
26.8



X-men
#22
143




X-men
#94
586



X-men



#23
-71.6

X-men
#95
146.6



X-men



#24
-95.8

X-men



#96
-22
X-men
#25
48.2




X-men



#97
-19.2
X-men



#26
-66

X-men



#98
10
X-men



#27
-104.8

X-men



#99
-4.2
X-men
#28
23




X-men



#100
-131.2
X-men



#29
-27.8

X-men



#101
-102.6
X-men



#30
-212.6

X-men



#102
-20.2
X-men



#31
-110.6

X-men



#103
9.8
X-men



#32
-129.8

X-men



#104
-61.8
X-men



#33
19

X-men



#105
-11.2
X-men



#34
-26.2

X-men



#106
-14.2
X-men



#35
-91

X-men



#107
-27.2
X-men



#36
-148

X-men



#108
-65.4
X-men
#37
242




X-men
#109
69.8



X-men
#38
40.4




X-men



#110
-95
X-men



#39
-29

X-men



#111
-1
X-men



#40
-50

X-men



#112
-4
X-men



#41
21.8

X-men
#113
36



X-men



#42
2.4

X-men



#114
-32
X-men



#43
-8.8

X-men



#115
-18.4
X-men



#44
-21.8

X-men



#116
-16.4
X-men



#45
-159.4

X-men



#117
-1.4
X-men



#46
-14

X-men
#118
25.6



X-men
#47
44




X-men



#119
13.6
X-men



#48
-37.2

X-men



#120
-50.6
X-men



#49
-59

X-men



#121
7.8
X-men



#50
-67.6

X-men



#122
-21.4
X-men



#51
-50.8

X-men



#123
-6
X-men



#52
-128.4

X-men
#124
32.4



X-men



#53
2.4

X-men



#125
-3.6
X-men



#54
-0.4

X-men



#126
0
X-men



#55
-15

X-men



#127
-22.6
X-men



#56
8.2

X-men



#128
-24.6
X-men



#57
-63

X-men



#129
-62.6
X-men
#58
136.4




X-men



#130
-24.4
X-men
#59
130.8




X-men



#131
-21.6
X-men
#60
108.6




X-men



#132
-16.6
X-men



#61
-78.8

X-men
#133
29



X-men
#62
53.8




X-men



#134
13.4
X-men
#63
100.6




X-men



#135
-16
X-men



#64
-20

X-men



#136
-32.6
X-men



#65
8.6

X-men



#137
-41.4
X-men



#66
3.8

X-men
#138
29.4



X-men
#67
51.6




X-men



#139
-2
X-men
#68
24




X-men



#140
-19.6
X-men



#69
-36

X-men



#141
-82.4
X-men
#70
108.8




X-men



#142
17.8
X-men
#71
27




X-men



#143
-20
X-men
#72
47.2











            Analysis of Table 3, the X-men issues shows a very very strong Early Late Bias going from the Insiders to Outsiders (Bright Green to Bright Red). In fact because of this run and FF I included Table 4 that looks in a “big picture way” looks as three runs. The X-men issues show much more Red Issues than Green as compared to the other two runs (60%). See Table 4. I would not have predicted that. I would have predicted ASM>X-Men>FF. But the data in Table 4 suggests FF>ASM>X-Men. Note the X-men run has a large ‘Dead Zone always after issue 19 into the late 50s and again another large “Dead Zone” from 96 onward to the 143 issue.

Table 4 Big Picture Analysis of the 3 Runs

Count of Quarter
Quarter
Quarter
Quarter
Quarter

Run
1
2
3
4
Grand Total
ASM
42
31
31
46
150
FF
45
46
35
23
149
X-Men
22
34
44
43
143
Grand Total
109
111
110
112
442







Quarter
Quarter
Quarter
Quarter

% of Quarter
1
2
3
4

ASM
38.5
27.9
28.2
41.1

FF
41.3
41.4
31.8
20.5

X-Men
20.2
30.6
40.0
38.4








Quarter
Quarter
Quarter
Quarter

% OF Run Total
1
2
3
4

ASM
28.0
20.7
20.7
30.7

FF
30.2
30.9
23.5
15.4

X-Men
15.4
23.8
30.8
30.1


            The Data from Table 4 was needed to address the differences between the different runs. Could anyone think about runs of issues like this? I have not seen the kind of analysis before! Proud to be the first! So the begin with a lined all the B Scores up and sorted from High to low numbers. I then get the median of the issues and divided into the 2 halves. The top half was positive with Insider Bias (Buy signals) and bottom half had Outsiders Bias (Sell signals). I then determined the median between the data in each of the two halves. This process gave us 4 quarters to label each issue with. Q1, and Q2 were the Green issues and Q3 and Q4 were the red issues.
            So quickly the FF run jumped out as biased to the Green and X-men was biased to the Red while ASM was more balanced but seemed to be bar-bell shaped in being extremes in Q1 and Q4. The X-men run only had 15% of its issues in Q1 while FF and ASM were double that number. Wow! So X-men issues are mostly duds as compared to the other runs. The X-men run seemed to be more popular with the outsiders than Insiders? I would focus elsewhere. The FF on the other hand had the least % in the Q4 issues. I would not have predicted this at all! 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Investing Guide is Out on Kindle

UPDATE Getting Ready to Do the DC side of Comic Book Investing Hopefully out early spring

Current Investment Analysis ASM 200 to 237